Okay Phil, so how about in the experiment I suggested, you use two plots of land that already have an established Chinese population, that way you can get an idea of how many eggs were laid? I just think searching areas for ooths where mantids could've dispersed or laid elsewhere isn't as accurate.
Now, I'm actually going to attempt to keep my response short. I'm pretty sure no one can give you a report of introduced mantids having an ill effect on a population, simply because no report was carried out at the time of introduction. Therefore it is up to people to assume that the introduction of the now naturalized species of mantis had no effect on the ecosystem. But if someone introduced a currently considered "exotic" mantis that would thrive in N. America, and study its affects on the ecosystem, I'm fairly certain it wouldn't just assimilate into the wild without having any influence over prey or predators (I'm not telling or recommending anyone do that). However, because that was so long ago, it's irrelevant for Brian's purposes. Chinese mantids are established now, and that's all that matters, like you said.
But before I continue, you mentioned the ladybird. I assume you're talking about
Harmonia axyridis, which was introduced throughout the Americas and Europe (even parts of Africa). It may be considered a success, but one can't deny the impact it's having on native species of ladybird. Harmonia axyridis is dominating the native species of ladybird such as Coccinella septempunctata. Consider this, H. axyridis becomes the sole use of biological pest control against aphids. However, because it's so dominant and a single species, if some event happens and wipes it out or reduces the population. It would then result in an explosion of the aphid population because their main predator is now wiped out. This wouldn't occur in an ecosystem that is so biodiverse, that the population decrease of one predator would be replaced by the increase of another predator. Obviously this hasn't happened (and probably never will), but I just wanted to point out the possible risks of releasing a predator into another area and calling it a success. Not only that, an introduced predator can be practically invincible to indigenous predators, causing further problems. Just like the introduction of the Cane toad into Australia to get rid of the beetles. How'd that work out? Reduced the beetle population alright, yet caused a larger problem with the toads themselves. But, like you said, this situation is different and I agree. I simply wanted to point out the down sides to introducing alien species to an environment.
The introduction of thousands, hundreds, or 50 oothecae may or may not cause some catastrophic population growth or decrease in T. sinensis or any other creature. As you said, there's no reason to support that it will, as people release store bought nymphs (maybe not the same quantity and the same area) into the wild annually. They even sell T. sinensis ooths hear in Nevada (I don't no why, considering the dry, hot weather would prevent them from ever establishing a respectable colony). So I concede and agree with you that the dangers of carrying out this plan may not be as risky as previously mentioned (even by me, I admit). But I'm still wary about it effecting the current population of T. sinensis, however in order to test out my fears, an experiment would have to be done. But still, my main point, which was highlighted earlier, is how one would go about documenting this experiment?
Phil, I absolutely respect you and have no intentions (or hope) of beating you in an argument regarding ecology, especially dealing with mantids. I don't want to come out as a smart ### (edited by myself), because I'm not one. In fact, the main reason why I said what I did in the previous posts was to get destroyed by your response and learn from it (I'm not saying I said dumb things on purpose, I stood by what I said earlier, until hearing valid responses). I'm eager to hear back from you later today (or tomorrow). This thread is like a discussion in its purest form, in that different ideas are presented, yet not refuted simply for contradicting previous beliefs. I like the H.S football analogy. But remember, the "excellent H.S. football player" may not be able to compete with the pro, but he can sure as heck gain something from trying.
So much for keeping it short. Darn ladybirds.
<_<